Decline in UK energy demand and growth in renewables
A Community Energy Group is investigating whether there is a clear
relationship between the decline in the annual electrical energy delivered
through the national grid and the increasing energy delivered by FiT registered
solar PV installations. (FiT =
Feed-in-Tariff, the government subsidy).
An article by Adam Vaughan in The Guardian dated 30 Jan 2018, notes that the UK electricity
demand has fallen by 9% in the past seven years. An analysis of official
figures by campaign group Sandbag found the UK fall between 2016 and 2017 was
one of the biggest in several years, marking a striking divergence with the
rest of Europe, where demand rose. (The UK’s power consumption fell nearly 2% from
355 terawatt hours to 348 TWh, while it rose across the EU as a whole by 0.7%
from 3,239 to 3,262 TWh.)
Vaughan suggests that a slowing economy, mild weather and the
growing use of energy efficient appliances may be significant factors; he
mentions the growth of renewables, but does not give sufficient detail to
answer the question of FiT registered solar PV installations.
The Digest
of UK Energy Statistics (DUKES) 2017: main report gives
detailed UK energy statistics broadly in agreement with the Guardian report above (e.g. 284.3 TWh final
consumption on the public distribution system in 2016) but not the details required
on FiT registered solar PV installations.
A Wikipedia entry reports a total installed capacity of
12,318 megawatt (MW) of PV solar power in the UK in May 2017, and UK generation
of 3.4% of its total electricity from solar power in 2016, with an all-time
peak generation from photovoltaics of 9.04 GW on 26 May 2017. The report gives a figure of 10,292 GWh from
solar systems in 2016, and dividing this by the DUKES figure of 284.313 TWh
for2016 gives 3.6%, close to the figure claimed above.
While the increase in UK solar is significant compared with
the decline in electrical energy supplied, does this prove anything? Demand in
the rest of Europe rose; should we expect this to correspond to a fall in their
solar output?
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