Air-to-air Heat Pumps

Introduction

During a recent online forum about the UK’s Warm Homes Plan, a question was asked about the role of air-to-air heat pumps in low-carbon heating policy. The UK plan will be briefly outlined below, followed by a discussion of the advantages and disadvantages of air-to-air heat pumps compared to air-to-water heat pumps, based on an EIRO publication.

The Warm Homes Plan 2026

The plan is discussed in relation to the housing sector in an article from the Carbon Literacy Project (CLP, 2026). “Homes and buildings account for roughly one-fifth of UK emissions” and £15 billion is to be invested with the aim of upgrading five million homes by 2030. The existing Boiler Upgrade Scheme will continue to offer grants of up to £7,500 per property for installation of heat pumps and a “£2,500 grant per property will also be available for air to air (as opposed to air to water) heat pumps which can also provide cooling.”

The UK Warm Homes Plan (DESNZ, 2026) notes the increase in sales of heat pumps in the UK in the years 2019 to 2024 and states the aim to deliver over 450,000 heat pump installations per year by 2030. Reference is made to ground, water and air source types and the plan claims that “The vast majority of rural homes are suitable for a heat pump”. Under an existing scheme, 96% of grants made for heat pump installation were for air source (as opposed to ground or water source) heat pumps. A typical heat pump system in domestic settings extracts heat from outside air and transfers it to water which circulates in a central heating system which heats a building via radiators. The plan confirms that future grants will include air-to-air heat pumps. These pumps can be “particularly suitable in smaller properties”, they can be used “for cooling as well as heating” and are “cheaper to install than a hydronic heat pump” (a heat pump that uses water to transfer heat into the home).

The UK Office for National Statistics reports that in England 1.4% of dwellings with Energy Performance Certificates use a heat pump. In some regions the figure is above 9%. For new buildings the figure is over 4% overall and above 8% in some regions (ONS, 2025).

EIRO Literature review on Air-to-air heat pumps

The Energy Innovation Research Office’s 2025 publication described the “unique advantages and disadvantages” of air-to-air heat pumps compared to other types. “Instead of working with radiators (as air-to-water heat pumps do), they work with air blower units, which can also provide cooling, dehumidification, air filtration and smart control of individual room temperatures” (EIRO, 2025).

In its Executive summary the EIRO literature review described air-to-air heat pumps as uncommon in UK homes though widely used in some European countries. They are sometimes used in combination with other heating systems, for example to heat parts of a home that are poorly insulated. Some types of housing may be particularly suited to air-to-air systems, for example “flats (particularly those prone to overheating) … and homes without existing radiator pipework”. Air-to-air heat pumps are widely used in commercial buildings, so that in the UK more installers are familiar with them than with air-to-water pumps. EIRO notes that there is limited and contradictory literature on “the comparative installation costs, operating costs, and energy efficiency of air-to-air systems for heating compared to air-to-water.” In Norway, Finland and Sweden, air-to-air heat pumps account for a substantial proportion of primary heating systems: rising summer temperatures in the UK may increase demand for the cooling that air-to-air heat pumps can provide, but the “high proportion of existing wet central heating systems” is a barrier to more air-to-air heat systems.

A short Introduction leads to a Technical overview, which distinguishes three main types of system: Mini-split (or single-split) in which an outdoor unit is connected to a single indoor unit (or cassette) with pipework transporting the refrigerant between the two; Multi-split, where the outdoor unit is connected to two or more indoor units; and Variable Refrigerant Flow (VRF), generally more suited to commercial settings, where the outdoor unit is connected to many indoor units which can be heated or cooled independently. The list of major domestic systems providers in the UK includes Mitsubishi, Samsung, Hitachi, Daikin, and Panasonic. Data on air-to-air multi-split units by these manufacturers shows a range of heating power from 3.3 to 12 kW, and a similar cooling power range. The lowest operating air temperature for all the listed units when they are heating is -15°C; air temperatures below this are not unknown in the UK. All the listed units use R32 refrigerant, classified as a hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) which puts it in the category of ‘F-gases’; greenhouse gases with global warming potential (GWP) much higher than that of CO2. Propane or R290 has a lower GWP and could be an alternative refrigerant.

Energy is wasted in heating unoccupied rooms, and some systems use motion detectors to identify when rooms are unoccupied. All the systems studied had links to the user’s mobile device. Many UK homes, especially those of the elderly, are under-occupied, and installation of an air-to-air heat pump could provide both energy and cost savings. Retrofitting can be done when a wet central heating system is still in situ.

Some areas of development are described by EIRO: one is the separation of cooling and dehumidifying operations; a second is technology utilising evaporative cooling that doesn’t require refrigerants; a third is the solid-state ActiveWall air-to-air heat pump; a wall integrated system with no pipework, indoor or outdoor unit.

Figures from the International Energy Agency showed very similar operating costs for air-to-air and air-to-water systems. Manufacturers recommend yearly servicing of air source heat pumps to ensure efficient operation, as with annual servicing of gas boilers. Smart controls and connection of units via Wi-Fi can enable remote fault diagnosis.  

Some aspects of greenhouse gas emissions from air-to-air heat pumps are addressed by EIRO. In the UK, CO2 emissions for heating by an air-to-air heat pump were almost 3 times lower than from a gas boiler, though the ratio depends on the way that electricity is generated. No data on embodied carbon emissions, use in cooling, or refrigerant leakage was available.

The section Integration overview sought to identify the types of property and existing situations to which air-to-air heat pumps are best suited. These include many flats; buildings with high heat loss, such as those with poor insulation due to solid walls and park homes; replacement of existing electric heaters; and where there is not already a wet central heating system that would need to be removed.

The scope for installation in England is limited because a high proportion of dwellings already have central heating with gas fired boilers and radiators; for these the better option is an air-to-water heat pump system.  Air-to-air heat pumps have an advantage over air-to-water heat pumps because they can easily provide cooling, which is more difficult and costly with an air-to-water heat pump and wet system. However hot water production is not integral to their function, and it accounts for a significant proportion of the overall demand for domestic heat. Air-to-air heat pumps can remove dust and particulates, such as pollen and smoke from the air, benefitting sufferers from asthma and hay fever. Heat pump energy tariffs are available to users in the UK, but the review found only one dedicated heat pump tariff compatible with air-to-air pumps.

Market view notes that the UK has one of the greatest numbers of dwellings among the European countries, at around 29 million, and has one of the highest proportions of homes in which a natural gas boiler is the primary heating source. In the years 2018 to 2022 the type of heat pump with the highest sales in domestic settings in Europe was air-to-air, closely followed by air-to-water types. The UK sales of air-to-air units are low compared to Europe generally but are growing steadily, as are sales of air-to-water types. Germany, France, Italy, and the Netherlands have building counts comparable to that of the UK and their experiences in deploying and adopting heat pumps are reviewed in some detail as they are potentially valuable to the UK. The section concludes with examples of successful case studies in the UK.

Policy and regulation impact predicts that heat will become a greater problem as climate change brings longer and more intense heatwaves to the UK. While overheating of buildings is a significant health risk, UK building policy has so far given only limited attention to cooling in buildings. Data on cooling practices is limited. The UK takes a ‘passive first’ approach to cooling, managing overheating in new build properties by fixed shading and glazing designs which do not increase building energy demand. The effectiveness of passive cooling is limited ultimately by external ambient temperatures. Existing building regulations allow cooling by air-to-air heat pumps only in restricted circumstances and after all practical passive cooling approaches have been considered.

The review’s Conclusions describe air-to-air heat pumps as having “significant potential in the UK market due to their energy efficiency, versatility, and ease of installation.”  Systems generally provide increased levels of comfort, heat properties quickly, and their noise levels are acceptable. Retrofitting can be straightforward but “not challenge-free”. They provide both heating and cooling capabilities and appear cost competitive with other types of heat pumps. Questions remain around the phasing out of F-gases and how this would affect air-to-air heat pumps, and there are gaps between “in-situ and rated performance”. There are air heat pump systems that can also generate hot water but availability in the UK is at present limited. “Incentives and building regulations are less supportive of air-to-air heat pumps than other types, which may discourage their uptake in situations where they could be particularly beneficial, and accelerate the decarbonisation of domestic heating.”

References

CLP, 2026, Warm Homes Plan 2026: What it Means for the Housing Sector, Carbon Literacy Project, online, accessed 13 March 2026

https://carbonliteracy.com/warm-homes-plan-2026-what-it-means-for-the-housing-sector/

DESNZ, 2026, Warm Homes Plan, UK Government, Department for Energy Security and Net Zero, online, accessed 13 March 2026

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/warm-homes-plan

EIRO, 2025, Air-to-Air Heat Pumps: Literature review, Energy Innovation Research Office, online, accessed 18 March 2026

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/67c7091916dc9038974dbe52/air-to-air-literature-review.pdf

ONS, 2025, Energy efficiency of housing in England and Wales: 2025, ONS, October 2025, online, accessed 17 March 2026

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/housing/articles/energyefficiencyofhousinginenglandandwales/latest#heat-pumps

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